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 US CPI Preview: A rate cut as early as March is unlikely if the figures come in as expected – Commerzbank
February 13, 2024

US CPI Preview: A rate cut as early as March is unlikely if the figures come in as expected – Commerzbank

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Today’s release of the US Consumer Price Index (CPI) report holds significant weight in determining the Federal Reserve’s potential rate cuts for the year ahead. However, economists at Commerzbank argue that it’s premature to consider rate cuts given the current economic conditions.

They emphasize that addressing disinflation is a gradual process rather than an immediate fix. Projections suggest that the core rate will likely resemble December’s monthly rate, with only a slight decline in the annual rate. While the headline rate may experience a more pronounced decrease annually, the month-on-month dynamics remain consistent with recent trends.

Despite the seemingly predictable nature of today’s figures, there are compelling reasons to pay close attention. Firstly, there’s always the possibility of unexpected outcomes. Additionally, these figures provide valuable insights into ongoing economic trends and potential future developments. Therefore, while today’s report may not offer groundbreaking revelations, it remains a crucial piece of the economic puzzle.

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