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 Gold prices ticks lower on Fed rate cut uncertainty, geopolitics and softer USD lend support
February 7, 2024

Gold prices ticks lower on Fed rate cut uncertainty, geopolitics and softer USD lend support

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US Dollar Index loses ground on downbeat US bond yields. Fed’s Powell tempered expectations of a rate cut in March. Fed Bank of Cleveland President Loretta Mester stated that the US central bank could consider interest rate cuts later in the year. US Dollar Index (DXY), measures the value of the US Dollar (USD) against the six other major currencies, extends its losses for the second straight session. The DXY remains in negative territory after trimming some of its intraday losses, hovering around 104.10 during the Asian session. Federal Reserve (Fed) Chair Jerome Powell tempered expectations of a rate cut and stressed the significance of closely monitoring inflation as it approaches the 2% core target. Despite these remarks, the US Dollar is weakened by the prevailing sentiment in the US bond market, which is impacting its performance despite the Federal Reserve’s (Fed) cautious stance on monetary policy. The 2-year and 10-year yields on US bond notes stand at 4.39% and 4.02%, respectively, by the press time. rewrite the content
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The US Dollar Index, which gauges the USD against other major currencies, continues to decline for the second consecutive session as it hovers around 104.10 during the Asian trading hours. This downturn comes despite efforts by Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell to manage expectations of a potential rate cut in March and emphasize the importance of monitoring inflation as it nears the 2% target.

Powell’s remarks failed to counteract the impact of subdued US bond yields, which are currently affecting the greenback’s performance. The 2-year and 10-year yields on US Treasury notes stand at 4.39% and 4.02%, respectively, adding pressure on the US Dollar despite the Fed’s cautious stance on monetary policy.

Additionally, comments from Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland President Loretta Mester hinting at potential interest rate cuts later in the year further contribute to the uncertainty surrounding the USD’s trajectory.

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Gold price fails to build on overnight positive move amid hawkish Fed expectations. A modest downtick in the US bond yields undermines the USD and lends some support. Geopolitical risks and China’s economic woes also contribute to limiting the downside. Gold price (XAU/USD) struggles to capitalize on the previous day’s positive move and trades with a mild negative bias heading into the European session on Wednesday. The incoming stronger US macro data, along with the recent hawkish remarks by several FOMC members, including the Federal Reserve (Fed) Chair Jerome Powell, forced investors to further scale back their expectations for early and steep rate cuts in 2024. This assists the US Dollar (USD) in stalling the overnight retracement slide from its highest level in almost three months and acts as a headwind for the non-yielding yellow metal. That said, the risk of a further escalation of military action in the Middle East, along with persistent worries about slowing economic growth in China, lends some support to the safe-haven Gold price. Furthermore, traders now seem reluctant to place aggressive directional bets and prefer to wait for more cues about the likely timing of the first interest rate cut by the Fed, which will influence the precious metal. Hence, the focus will remain glued to next week’s release of the latest US consumer inflation figures. In the meantime, traders on Wednesday might take cues from speeches by Fed officials. rewrite the content
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Gold prices are struggling to maintain their upward momentum as they trade slightly lower heading into the European session on Wednesday. Despite a modest decline in US bond yields, which typically weakens the USD and supports gold, the precious metal faces headwinds due to expectations of a hawkish stance from the Federal Reserve (Fed).

Recent remarks by Fed Chair Jerome Powell and other FOMC members, along with incoming strong US macro data, have led investors to dial back their expectations for imminent and aggressive rate cuts in 2024. This has bolstered the USD, hindering gold’s ability to extend gains from the previous session.

Nevertheless, geopolitical tensions in the Middle East and concerns over China’s economic slowdown are providing some support to gold as a safe-haven asset. However, traders remain cautious and are refraining from making significant directional bets as they await clearer signals regarding the timing of potential Fed rate cuts.

Attention is now focused on the upcoming release of US consumer inflation figures next week, which will likely influence gold prices. In the meantime, market participants will closely monitor speeches by Fed officials on Wednesday for further insights into the central bank’s monetary policy stance.

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